By Adam D.A.
Manning LLB, LLM
Artificial Intelligence (AI) already plays a surprisingly large role in
our society and economy, from the way mobile phones route calls to financial
software predicting or playing the stock market, and will become even more
prevalent in the future. A term used to
refer to computer systems that mimic aspects of human intelligence such as
taking decision or even learning, AI is here to stay.
Another related, revolutionary advance is the Internet of Things (IoT).
Put simply, IoT is interconnecting all sorts of devices, including everyday
objects, over the Internet so that they can exchange data. This can include medical equipment such as
pacemakers, beds in hospitals able to detect if someone is lying in them and
even smart watches worn to track exercise. It can include devices monitoring
infrastructure such as roads, bridges and railway tracks. It is of potentially
enormous application and there are estimates of 20 to 30 billion IoT enabled
devices by 2020. One consequence is a
huge increase in the amount of data available for access.
In considering the practical implications of these developments, one
illustrative scenario could be that unfortunately regular occurrence, the road traffic
accident. Cars are a perfect example of “devices”
that could be on the IoT and if so, this might entail a car transmitting
constant data about its position, speed, orientation and even whether it has a
fault or is damaged and in need of repair.
Imagine also that the roads themselves have sensors embedded in them
that can detect similar information about the vehicles travelling on them, such
as their position and heading. This might be linked to a CCTV system through
fixed position cameras or even drones. Data from the transport infrastructure
system might also include information about the conditions of the road, such as
whether it is dry or not, and the general prevailing conditions (time of day,
bright sunshine, visibility, fog, cloud, wind and so forth).
For the time being, ignore the issue of driverless cars to keep things
simpler. Now, on this road of the future, imagine that there has been a nasty
accident involving several motor vehicles, in which sadly some of the occupants
have been injured.
The data from vehicles and the road network could be transferred to the
police force’s computer to determine whether the emergency services were needed
to attend at the scene and, if so, in what number. As this is a serious
incident, a substantial contingent might be appropriate. As a result, the
emergency services might be alerted sooner than any of the humans at the scene
or observing might have been able to contact them.
Once the emergency personnel arrive, their data would be added to the
set of information already available from the vehicle and road sensors, including
an assessment of the injuries suffered by victims at the scene and more details
about the damage to the vehicles, including photo and video imagery. Witness
evidence from people at the scene (or later taken at the police station or a
victim’s home) would add further data.
The AI system used by the police would then analyse all of this data and
consider issues concerning criminal liability. This might involve, in part, the
use of an expert system, which takes data and applies decision making processes
to it. Expert systems are an established field of AI with a long history and do
not represent a radical new advance, apart from perhaps the huge amount of data
that a true IoT would provide.
Whether anyone involved was driving over the speed limit might be a relatively
straightforward issue for the system to analyse. The software might also
analyse whether any of the drivers were driving in such a way that might be
considered dangerous or caused the incident. This analysis might evolve over
time as the software begins to recognise features of a situation that to a
police officer suggest dangerous driving; true machine learning might be
required.
The data set could then be further analysed by the police force’s AI to
determine if any of the drivers had breached the criminal law and warranted prosecution
as a result. This would involve analysing the witness evidence for weaknesses
such as contradictions with the objective data obtained from the vehicles and
road sensors. Part of this system would entail natural language comprehension
on the part of the AI; that is the system would have to “understand” the text
of the witness evidence.
If the police force’s AI determined that the case might warrant
prosecution, a recommendation could be made for the case to be forwarded to the
Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) for a CPS lawyer to review, possibly with the assistance
of the CPS’ AI system. The CPS’s AI could analyse the data relevant to this incident
and compare it to its library of similar incidents, reviewing their outcomes
and predicting what could happen concerning this particular incident. The conclusion
of this analysis would be a recommendation regarding prosecution and the
possible offence involved.
With regard to the civil law aspects of the situation, the data would be
transferred to the AI system for the insurers for those involved in the
incident. The insurer’s AI would analyse all of this data to determine if any
of the parties involved had a personal injury or motor vehicle damage claim
against any of the others.
This would, as the case progressed, include data from the hospitals, GPs
and other medical practitioners involved concerning the nature and extent of
the injuries suffered. At an appropriate
point in time, when prognoses were as clear as they could be, the insurers’ AI
systems could recommend offers to make to settle the claims and even negotiate
settlements based on precedents for the amount of compensation involved.
Data from garages, employers, physiotherapists and others could be
included in the claim to ensure full compensation was recovered, including loss
of earnings. Insurance companies already use software such as Colossus to value
claims; this just takes the process to its ultimate conclusion.
Of course, in reality this system might have regular human supervision
to ensure it wasn’t making aberrant decisions, but in principle this could operate
quite independently of human intervention. Lawyers, that is human lawyers,
might only be involved in very difficult cases where the data, even in this
amount, was unclear as to whether there was any issue of liability.
The widespread use of driverless vehicles in the future implies that a
lot of the data about the vehicle’s position, speed and heading will be
available in any event as it will be needed by the driverless navigation
system. In the event of an incident, the
issue of who, if anyone, is prosecuted or liable in a civil sense becomes
rather more abstract and it may be that the appropriate tort is one of product
liability rather than negligence.
This thought experiment illustrates an example of how an even more data
driven digital society might function. It relies on an Internet of Things
generating the huge amount of data necessary, the internet as a medium for the
exchange of this data and AI systems within our institutions and companies
processing it and taking sometimes very serious decisions as a result.
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